Stats don't back up David Stern's claims

http://blogs.usatoday.com/gameon/2008/10/gambling-maven.html

Gambling maven says stats don't back up David Stern's claims
By Reid Cherner & Tom Weir
October 03, 2008

NBA commissioner David Stern said in a press conference that he believes that disgraced referee Tim Donaghy did not affect the outcome of games and that he acted alone.

R.J. Bell of pregame.com, a gambling information site, believes that doesn't pass the smell test.

According to Bell's numbers:

The first 15 games of the 2006-07 refereed by Tim Donaghy that had big enough betting to move the point spread by at least 1.5 points were undefeated against Las Vegas - meaning that the big-money gamblers won 15 of 15 times on his games. The odds of that happening randomly are 32,768 to 1.

Here is what he said about referee Scott Foster whom Donaghy called 134 times from 2006-2007:

During the 2006-07 period under investigation, 10 games refereed by Scott Foster had lopsided enough betting on one team to move the point spread by at least 2 points; those ten teams were undefeated against Vegas – meaning that the big-money gamblers won a perfect 10 of 10 times on Foster’s games; the odds of that happening randomly are greater than 1000 to 1 against.