Saturday, January 11, 2014

Robalini's Week 19 NFL Picks

Here's my results for Week 18
W-L-T record: 3-1
Season record: 87-92-5

New Orleans Saint (+8 1/2) over Seattle Seahawks
Yes, Seattle is a great home team and the Saints are a bad road team.  But this point spread is just too huge, and the Seahawks are relatively inexperienced in the playoffs.

Indianapolis Colts (+7 1/2) over New England Patriots
Again, the high point spread is the key here.  With little pressure on Andrew Luck in expectations, I imagine he'll play well and at the least keep it close.

San Francisco 49ers (+1) over Carolina Panthers
At one point this week the 49ers actually were the dog and I jumped on it.  Most spreads have SF a slight favorite, but I don't expect it to be close.  The 49ers have underperformed most the season, and they're still one of the top four teams in the NFL.  They'll prove it against Cam Newton.

San Diego Chargers (+10) over Denver Broncos
Yes, Peyton Manning has had an incredible season, but he has a stunning history of underperforming in the playoffs.  And which team has he consistently had the worst history of underperforming against in big games?  Look it up: it's the Chargers, who he lost to earlier this season.  And then let's factor in the colder weather he'll be playing in, which is another Manning liability.  So add it up and: is ten points too much?  Yes.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends

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