Thursday, October 31, 2013

Robalini's Week 9 NFL Picks - Thursday Special

Here's my results for Week 8
W-L-T record: 5-7
Season record: 43-46-2

Halloween Thursday Night Football:
Cincinnati Bengals (-2 1/2) over Miami Dolphins
The Bengals at 6-2 are exceeding expectations, and the Dolphins are winless in October.  Look for the trend to continue tonight..

More games coming Saturday or early Sunday...

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com:

http://www.vegasinsider.com

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Robalini's Week 8 NFL Picks

Robalini's Week 8 NFL Picks
Here's my results for Week 7
W-L-T record: 6-6
Season record: 38-39-2

Carolina Panthers (-6) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I'm planning to bet against the Bucs for awhile.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+17) over San Francisco 49ers
As bad as the Jags are, 17 points is too much for their future division opponent in San Francisco (when the Jags move to Los Angeles.)

Dallas Cowboys (+3 1/2) over Detroit Lions
Tony Romo and the Cowboys still don't get enough credit.  Look at them to cover in Motown.

New York Giants (+6 1/2) over Philadelphia Eagles
The Giants may not win in Philly, but expect them to keep it close in an ugly game.

Kansas City Chiefs (-7) over Cleveland Browns
A lot of experts believe the Chiefs have no business being the only undefeated team in the NFL.  They will stay undefeated another week.

New Orleans Saints (-11) over Buffalo Bills
Are 11 points a lot?  Yes.  But the Saints score a lot, and the Bills don't.

Miami Dolphins (+7) over New England Patriots
News flash: Tom Brady has only 1 TD pass in the last 3 games (albeit a great one.)  The Pats should win, but expect a close game.

New York Jets (+6 1/2) over Cincinnati Bengals
The Jets and Geno Smith are better than they are getting credit for.  Take the points.

Washington Redskins (+13) over Denver Broncos
I'm returning to my "Denver shouldn't be giving so many points in spread bets no matter how amazing Peyton Manning is" stance and betting on the Skins to keep it close.

Atlanta Falcons (+2 1/2) over Arizona Cardinals
Wait, the Falcons are the dogs here?  Really?

Green Bay Packers (-9) over Minnesota Vikings
Oddly, this game is getting a tighter spread despite how bad Minnesota played Monday night.  Whatever the spread, the Packs are my pick here.

Seattle Seahawks (-10 1/2) over St. Louis Rams
The spread is high, but the Seahawks are amazing and Sam Bradford is out.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com:

http://www.vegasinsider.com

Sunday, October 20, 2013

Robalini's Week 7 NFL Picks - Sunday

Back at .500, here's my picks:

San Diego Chargers (-7 1/2) over Jacksonville Jaguars
Some people think the Jaguars may keep this one close.  They're wrong.

Kansas City Chiefs (-6) over Houston Texans
The Chiefs should clobber the Texans without Matt Schaub, even if he can't throw a interception returned for a touchdown.

Detroit Lions (-2 1/2) over Cincinnati Bengals
The Lions giving less than a FG at home against the Bengals?  I'll bite!

Miami Dolphins (-7) over Buffalo Bills
A TD is a lot of points, but the Bills are a troubled team.

Chicago Bears (+1 1/2) over Washington Redskins
I know the Skins are at home, but making the Bears a dog earlier this week was a Vegas goof, and I jumped on it.

Dallas Cowboys (+3) over Philadelphia Eagles
Never mind the haters, Romo.  The Cowboys will settle they are the class of the NFC East in Philly.

St. Louis Rams (+7) over Carolina Panthers
A TD is too huge in a game involving two underperforming teams.

Atlanta Falcons (-6) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs are good to bet against, so this is a good game for Atlanta to start recovering this season.

San Francisco 49ers (-3 1/2) over Tennessee Titans
Where's the respect for the Niners?  This spread is too low!

Green Bay Packers (-9) over Cleveland Browns
Nine points are a lot, but this is the Packers, and they are facing the Browns.

Denver Broncos (-6 1/2) over Indianapolis Colts

I almost don't care about the point spread here.  Peyton Manning will taste his revenge.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com:

http://www.vegasinsider.com

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Robalini's Week 7 NFL Picks - Thursday Special

Here's my results for Week 6
W-L-T record: 7-4
Season record: 32-33-2

Thursday Night Football:
Seattle Seahawks (-6) over Arizona Cardinals
The Seahawks should dominate the Cards.  Give the points.

More games coming Saturday or early Sunday...

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com:

http://www.vegasinsider.com

Sunday, October 13, 2013

Robalini's Week 6 NFL Picks

Here's my results for Week 5
W-L-T record: 6-7
Season record: 25-29-2

Philadelphia Eagles (-1) over Tampa Bay BUccaneers
Whatever the problems with the Eagles right now (and there are many) they got nothing on the Bucs.  This looks like an easy win.

Green Bay Packers (-3) over Baltimore Ravens
I got this as a +100 payout and that's still available in multiple casinos.  The Pack has struggled, but thanks to Aaron Rodgers, they're still a fundamentally sound team.

Detroit Lions (-2 1/2) over Cleveland Browns
I'm still not buying the Browns.  With Reggie Bush back, I am buying the Lions.

St. Louis Rams (+7 1/2) over Houston Texans
The Rams are better than their record suggests, and the Texans (led by Pick-Six Schaub) are worse.  Look for St. Louis to at least keep it close.

New York Jets (-2 1/2) over Pittsburgh Steelers
The Jets are silently looking good under Geno Smith: look for them to prove it against the Steelers.

Cincinnati Bengals (-6) over Buffalo Bills
When this fell below a TD yesterday, I bit.  Yes, it's still a lot of points, but the Bills are not the same team without EJ Emanuel.

Tennessee Titans (+13 1/2) over Seattle Seahawks
The Titans aren't as good as their record suggests, but this line is complete disrespect.  Take the points.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+27 1/2) over Denver Broncos
This is solely about the point spread.  As good as Peyton Manning (who probably will be Sports Illustrated's Sportsman of the Year) and the Broncos are and as bad as the soon-to-be Los Angeles Jaguars are, I have to take the points.

San Francisco 49ers (-10 1/2) over Arizona Cardinals
Expect the Niners to romp.

New Orleans Saints (+2 1/2) over New England Patriots
The Patriots armor chink was exposed last week.  Look for Drew Brees and the Saints to exploit a team that shouldn't be 4-1.

San Diego Chargers (+1 1/2) over Indianapolis Colts
I'm still not buying the Colts and Andrew Luck this year.  Take the Chargers at home.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com:

http://www.vegasinsider.com

Sunday, October 6, 2013

Robalini's Week 5 NFL Picks

Here's my results for Week 4
W-L-T record: 3-5
Season record: 19-22-2

Ouch...

Kansas City Chiefs (-2 1/2) over Tennessee Titans
The Chiefs are living up to the hype as most improved team.  Watch them continue against the Titans.

Miami Dolphins (-2 1/2) over Baltimore Ravens
Look for the Dolphins to rebound against the Ravens at home after being beaten up by the Saints.

St. Louis Rams (-11) over Jacksonville Jaguars
I don't care if it's eleven points.  It's the Jaguars we're talking about.

New England Patriots (+2 1/2) over Cincinnati Bengals
The Patriots (at 4-0) a dog against the Bengals?  That was the spread earlier this week.  I take.

Seattle Seahawks (-2 1/2) over Indianapolis Colts
The Colts aren't as good as their record suggests, and they'll learn that against Seattle.

Green Bay Packers (-6 1/2) over Detroit Lions
Look for Aaron Rodgers to start dominating this week.

New Orleans Saints (+1) over Chicago Bears
When I saw the Saints were dogs on Tuesday, I took it while I could.

Philadelphia Eagles (+2 1/2) over New York Giants
The Giants, at 0-4, still have too much love.

Carolina Panthers (-2) over Arizona Cardinals
Call me stubborn, but I still find the Panthers to be a highly undervalued team.

San Diego Chargers (-4) over Oakland Raiders
The Raiders are doing better than expected, but so are the Chargers, who should dominate.

Denver Broncos (-6 1/2) over Dallas Cowboys
Wynn had it under a TD on Sunday, so I bit early.  Even at eight, this is a great bet.

San Francisco 49ers (-6) over Houston Texans
The spread has already dropped, but I'm happy giving less than a touchdown with the 49ers.

Atlanta Falcons (-8 1/2) over New York Jets
The Falcons will punish the Jets in revenge for their loss against the Pats.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com:

http://www.vegasinsider.com