Sunday, September 16, 2012
Robalini's Week 2 NFL Picks
Here's my results for week 1
W-L-T record: 5-5
Hot Picks record: 2-1
Though I went 2-5 on Sunday, I still had a .500 record thanks to Thursday & Monday games.
Hot Picks (in order of hotness):
Washington Redskins (-3 1/2) over St. Louis Rams
This is the first time I've ever picked the Skins in a game since starting this last season. RGIII will do that to you.
Oakland Raiders (-2 1/2) over Miami Dolphins
Despite their loss to the Chargers, the Raiders looked surprisingly good, and if they only had a decent backup long-snapper, they could've won the game. The Raiders need some work, but Miami is a great team to get in gear with.
Baltimore Ravens (+2 1/2) over Philadelphia Eagles
I was pretty sold on the Ravens after their crushing victory over the Bengals, but Vegas isn't convinced. I'll take them over the Eagles on the road.
My other four picks:
Cincinnati Bengals (-6 1/2) over Cleveland Browns
The Bengals weren't really that bad last week: the Ravens just were that good. The Browns didn't overplay last week: the Eagles just underplayed.
Houston Texans (-7) over Jacksonville Jaguars
I'm not convinced the Texans are the AFC top team now after seeing the Ravens in action, but I am convinced they're better than the Jags.
Dallas Cowboys (-3 1/2) over Seattle Seahawks
In the past, the Seahawks are the kind of team the Cowboys would underperform against. That is the past.
San Diego Chargers (-6 1/2) over Tennessee Titans
The Chargers didn't look good last week, but I expect them to improve at home against a Titan team humiliated by the Patriots last week.
Games I'm passing on and why:
New York Giants (-7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I'm not sure where these teams stand after Week 1, and the spread is too high to bet on the Giants.
New England Patriots (-14) Arizona Cardinals
After their win over the Titans, I'm sold on the Pats being back at playoff form. But fourteen points is too much a risk.
Indianapolis Colts (+2 1/2) Minnesota Vikings
Both teams are a question mark still, and the Vikings are a -120 pick.
Carolina Panthers (+2 1/2) New Orleans Saints
I may still bet on this game, but am planning to pass since the Saints are a -120 payout. If you can get the Saints at -110, it's a great bet.
Buffalo Bills (-3) Kansas City Chiefs
The better bet of the two is Buffalo, but it's a -120 game.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-5 1/2) New York Jets
I like the Steeler, but think it's gonna be a close game.
San Francisco 49ers (-7) Detroit Lions
I love the Niners, but respect the Lions too much to give them a touchdown.
Atlanta Falcons (-3) Denver Broncos
I'm pretty big on the Falcons this year, but holding back due to the Peyton X-Factor.
All bets are placed at Station Casinos:
To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com: