Here's my results for week 1
W-L-T record: 3-2-1
Chicago over Atlanta: Win
The Falcons aren't as good on the road as they are at home, and the Bears are an underrated team. I took Chicago at home and was rewarded...
Philadelphia over St. Louis: Win
The Eagles look good as long as Vick is healthy and the Cards should struggle this year, so I picked Philly for the road win. Bingo...
Tennessee over Jacksonville: Loss
I thought the Jags would be demoralized over what happened to David Garrard, but they played great. Credit to Jacksonville...
NY Giants over Washington: Loss
Credit to the Skins as well, for playing way over what I expected...
Arizona over Carolina: Draw
Arizona won, but at the same seven points the line was at. I expected Cam Newton to not play well in his first NFL start on the road: boy, was I wrong...
Oakland over Denver: Win
Oakland was undefeated against the AFC West last season, and the Broncos are an organization in chaos. I picked the Raiders on the road and was correct...
Comments: Even though I was only 3-2-1 (still a winning record) I feel especially good that if I placed bets on the earlier lines of +3 for Tennessee and -3.5 for Arizona, I would've been 5-1. Point spread changes of 3 points are pretty rare, and that I fingered two games where the spread was especially juicy shows my picks are pretty solid. I'll try to get to the casinos earlier from now on!
All bets are placed at Station Casinos:
To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com:
Highlights of Week 1:
* Tom Brady throws for 517 yards and 4 TDs, including a 99-yarder to Wes Welker
* Sebastian Janikowski kicks a 63-yard field goal for Oakland
* Randall Cobb returns a kickoff 108 yards for Green Bay
Other sports highlights:
* Floyd Mayweather knocks out Victor Ortiz
* Novak Djokovic defeats Rafael Nadal to win the US Open
* Mariano Rivera gets his 600th and record-tying 601st save as a reliever...